Horse racing ideas: Carlisle and Wolverhampton finest bets, Monday third February
Our crack tipping group lit up the weekdays with 4 profitable naps last week. Find out today’s picks and which bookmaker offer to again them with below.
Two meetings go forward on Monday after Fontwell was claimed by the climate on Sunday.
They go over jumps within the afternoon at Carlisle and later there are eight races from Wolverhampton’s all-weather circuit.
An ex-Godolphin-owned flat performer could probably be able to get his account up and operating over hurdles this afternoon for bang in-form coach Evan Williams and gets the NAP vote.
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Carlisle four:30 betting tip: Williams Winds blowing strongly
Trainer Evan Williams has his staff firing right now, with a wonderful strike-rate of 22 per cent (8-36) during the previous fortnight.
He’s got an fascinating handicap debutant going within the closing race at Carlisle this afternoon within the form of Winds Of Fire (Carlisle four:30) and he looks to have loads of scope.
The Kitten’s Joy gelding has twice finished third in his two hurdles runs at Hereford and Ludlow in November and now leaves behind novice/maiden firm.
Those efforts came after he’d been on the sidelines for a 12 months. Previously, Winds Of Fire had managed two wins on the Flat when in the care of Charlie Appleby and racing within the Godolphin blue silks.
The most recent of those wins got here off a mark of eighty five over 1m6f at Salisbury and that type of capability strongly hints that we will count on higher from him before lengthy over hurdles.
With the yard’s runners now in form, that enchancment should be forthcoming and a gap handicap mark of 113 seems far from insurmountable now.
The Rebecca Menzies-trained Xpo Universel is set to go off favourite right here however he has been raised 12lb by the handicapper for his recent success at Sedgefield.
That could presumably be telling if Winds Of Fire is allowed the prospect to throw down a late challenge, where his Flat velocity ought to show a serious asset.
Carlisle 2:20 betting tip: Cudgel has more to come
James Walton’s Cudgel (Carlisle 2.20) has solely had two starts over fences and he has exhibited enough promise in these runs to make him a promising contender for honours in this Novices’ Handicap Chase.
He was a 50/1 chance on the primary of his chase begins at Hexham back in June, though the 2m4f trip would have been missing the sort of stamina-testing credentials which he seeks.
Back from his break, he went close over hurdles at the similar track when upped to 2m7½f in early November and duly backed that up with a victory over that very same C&D in December on heavy floor.
Placed again over timber at Catterick over Christmas, he turned his hand as soon as extra to chasing for his opening gambit of 2020, once more around Catterick and with the trip in excess of three-miles.
He was denied by Ask Paddy as he finished second but had some eight-lengths to spare on the third home. The winner has gained both begins since and, up simply 3lb, Conor O’Farrell’s mount has sound prospects of creating it third time lucky over fences.
He will get weight from the likes of Mymilan and Ballybreen, chief rivals in the betting, and is best worth having opened at 5/1.
Wolverhampton eight:30 betting tip: Romance in Valentine Mist
The concluding Classified Stakes brings together a reasonably motley crew and Valentine Mist (Wolverhampton 8:30) could be worth chancing at an enormous value.
James Grassick’s mare has but to win on a man-made floor (0-14) but she has run her greatest races right here at Dunstall Park, putting four occasions in 5 previous visits.
She has completed third thrice here since mid-December, including over this 1m4f journey in a handicap at an enormous value. She was well held on her most up-to-date begin at Kempton on the Polytrack however that was over a mile.
Her sole turf success came at Bath over 1m2f back in August and, with simply that one earlier run over this journey, she’s got credible claims of doing better; especially back around right here on the Tapeta surface that she seems to behave best on.